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Dioretsa and presidents of USA

Саша Солёный

From 1789 to 2000 president elections in USA took place 54 times. How many times their result could be correctly predicted with use of asteroid Dioretsa?

In my article "Dioretsa" a conclusion is drawn about most common aspects of this unusual asteroid in presidents horoscopes.

If we consider an elemental criterion:
wins candidate having more septile aspects to Dioretsa,
we see that in 28 cases the answer of criterion agrees with result of elections, in 10 cases answer is wrong, in 16 cases criterion doesn't give answer, as the number of septile aspects in both horoscopes is equal.

Objects used in this article: Sun, Moon, Mercury, Venus, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, Pluto, 1999TC36. Orbs: 3 degrees for Sun and Moon, 2 degrees for other objects.

If we take Criterion-2 more complex:
wins one with Dioretsa aspected more beneficial, and "benefit" is calculated by adding:

+3 points for every septile aspect to close female planets
(Moon, Venus, Saturn),
+2 points for every septile aspect to far female planets
(Neptune and 1999TC36),
+1 point for every septile aspect to other planets
(Sun, Mercury, Mars, Jupiter, Uranus, Pluto),
we see that in 35 cases the answer of criterion agrees with result of elections, in 13 cases the answer is wrong, in 6 cases criterion doesn't give an answer: sums of points of both candidates are equal.

If all three coefficients are equal (no matter 1,1,1, or 3,3,3) it's Criterion-1.
6 times no answer instead of 16 - this is much better, but an ideal criterion should give an answer in all cases.

Let's take Criterion-3 even more complex:
wins one with Dioretsa aspected more beneficial, and "benefit" is calculated by adding:

+9 points for septile aspect to close female planets
+6 points for septile aspect to far female planets
+3 points for septile aspect to other planets
+1 point for non-septile aspect to female planets (any planet of five).

In 41 cases the answer of Criterion-3 is correct, in 12 cases it is wrong, and only in one case Criterion-3 can't give an answer.

Aspects used are only traditional: all with denominator up to 8 inclusive, and also with denominator 12.

360*1/1   0 degrees  Conjunction
360*1/2   180  Opposition
360*1/3   120  Trine
360*1/4    90  Square
360*1/5    72  Quintile
360*2/5   144  Bi quintile
360*1/6    60  Sextile
360*1/7    51.43  Septile
360*2/7   102.86  Bi septile
360*3/7   154.29  Tri-septile
360*1/8    45  Semi square
360*3/8   135  Sesquiquadrate
360*1/12   30  Semi sextile
360*5/12  150  Quincunx

If we exclude non-septile aspects from Criterion-3, we have exactly Criterion-2.

41 correct answer from 53 answers - it's 77.36% . 80% for elections held from 1900 to 2000 inclusive, 86.36% - from 1912 to 2000. In Lee Lehman's article on USA presidents elections ten criteria are used, and best result: 71%




Appendix 1. For those who wish to repeat the results.

Tables 1 and 2 contain all details for all three criteria.

Information about president elections is taken from http://gi.grolier.com/presidents/results/restable.html.
Information on candidates horoscopes - from SADC, or, if it's not present in SADC, from http://politicalgraveyard.com/.
Database files for ZET 7 lite astrological program see here attached.


Table 1. Presidents and pretenders.
Here
C - number of septile aspects to close female planets;
F - septile aspects to far female planets;
O - septile to other planets;
N - non-septile aspects to female planets;
Cr-1, Cr-2, Cr-3 - sums of points by Criterion-1, Criterion-2 and Criterion-3 accordingly.
Name C F O N Cr-1 Cr-2 Cr-3
George Washington 0 0 0 4 0 0 4
John Adams 0 0 1 0 1 1 3
Thomas Jefferson 0 1 0 1 1 2 7
James Madison 0 0 1 2 1 1 5
5. James Monroe 0 0 1 1 1 1 4
John Quincy Adams 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Andrew Jackson 1 0 1 1 2 4 13
Martin Van Buren 0 1 0 1 1 2 7
William Henry Harrison 1 0 0 2 1 3 11
10. John Tyler 0 0 1 2 1 1 5
James Knox Polk 0 0 1 2 1 1 5
Zachary Taylor 1 0 2 1 3 5 16
Millard Fillmore 0 1 2 1 3 4 13
Franklin Pierce 0 0 0 3 0 0 3
15. James Buchanan 0 1 0 1 1 2 7
Abraham Lincoln 0 0 1 1 1 1 4
Andrew Johnson 0 0 1 0 1 1 3
Ulysses Simpson Grant 1 0 0 1 1 3 10
Rutherford B. Hayes 0 0 1 1 1 1 4
20. James A. Garfield 1 0 1 0 2 4 12
Chester Arthur 0 0 1 2 1 1 5
22,24 Grover Cleveland 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Benjamin Harrison 1 0 0 1 1 3 10
25. William McKinley 0 0 1 2 1 1 5
Theodore Roosevelt 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
William Howard Taft 0 0 0 3 0 0 3
Woodrow Wilson 1 0 0 1 1 3 10
Warren G. Harding 0 0 1 2 1 1 5
30. Calvin Coolidge 1 1 1 0 3 6 18
Herbert Hoover 0 1 1 3 2 3 12
Franklin Delano Roosevelt,Sr. 1 1 0 0 2 5 15
Harry S. Truman 1 0 2 2 3 5 17
Dwight D. Eisenhower 1 0 1 0 2 4 12
John Fitzgerald Kennedy, Sr. 1 0 0 2 1 3 11
36. Lyndon Baines Johnson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Richard M. Nixon 1 0 0 2 1 3 11
Gerald Rudolph Ford, Jr. 0 1 0 3 1 2 9
Jimmy Carter 1 0 0 1 1 3 10
40. Ronald Reagan 1 1 0 0 2 5 15
George Bush 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bill Clinton 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
43. George Walker Bush, Jr. 1 0 0 0 1 3 9
Did not succeed:
Aaron Burr 0 0 1 2 1 1 5
C. C. Pinckney 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
De Witt Clinton 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Rufus King 1 0 0 2 1 3 11
Henry Clay 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Lewis Cass 0 0 1 3 1 1 6
Winfield Scott 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
John Charles Fremont 1 1 0 1 2 5 16
John C. Breckinridge 1 0 1 2 2 4 14
George Brinton McClellan 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Horatio, Seymour 0 0 1 1 1 1 4
Horace Greeley 1 0 0 0 1 3 9
Samuel J. Tilden 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Winfield S. Hancock 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
James G. Blaine 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
William Jennings Bryan 0 0 0 4 0 0 4
Alton B. Parker 0 0 1 0 1 1 3
Charles Evans Hughes 0 0 1 0 1 1 3
James M. Cox 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
John William Davis 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Alfred E. Smith 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Alf Landon 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Wendell Wilkie 0 0 1 1 1 1 4
Thomas E. Dewey 1 0 0 0 1 3 9
Adlai E. Stevenson II 0 1 0 2 1 2 8
Barry Goldwater, Sr. 0 0 2 1 2 2 7
Hubert H. Humphrey, Jr. 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
George S. McGovern 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Walter "Fritz" Mondale 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Michael Dukakis 0 0 1 1 1 1 4
Robert J. Dole 0 0 1 0 1 1 3
Albert Gore, Jr. 0 0 1 2 1 1 5


Table 2. Years and results.
Here D1 - difference of points for Criterion-1. Similarly D2 and D3.
YearWinsLoses D1D2D3
1789 George Washington John Adams -1 -1 1
1792 George Washington John Adams -1 -1 1
1796 John Adams Thomas Jefferson 0 -1 -4
1800 Thomas Jefferson Aaron Burr 0 1 2
1804 Thomas Jefferson C. C. Pinckney 1 2 7
1808 James Madison C. C. Pinckney 1 1 5
1812 James Madison DeWitt Clinton 1 1 4
1816 James Monroe Rufus King 0 -2 -7
1820 James Monroe John Q. Adams 1 1 2
1824 John Q. Adams Andrew Jackson -2 -4 -11
1828 Andrew Jackson John Q. Adams 2 4 11
1832 Andrew Jackson Henry Clay 2 4 12
1836 Martin Van Buren William H. Harrison 0 -1 -4
1840 William H. Harrison Martin Van Buren 0 1 4
1844 James K. Polk Henry Clay 1 1 4
1848 Zachary Taylor Lewis Cass 2 4 10
1852 Franklin Pierce Winfield Scott 0 0 3
1856 James Buchanan John C. Fremont -1 -3 -9
1860 Abraham Lincoln J. C. Breckinridge -1 -3 -10
1864 Abraham Lincoln George B. McClellan 1 1 3
1868 Ulysses S. Grant Horatio Seymour 0 2 6
1872 Ulysses S. Grant Horace Greeley 0 0 1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes Samuel J. Tilden 1 1 3
1880 James A. Garfield Winfield S. Hancock 2 4 12
1884 Grover Cleveland James G. Blaine 0 0 1
1888 Benjamin Harrison Grover Cleveland 1 3 8
1892 Grover Cleveland Benjamin Harrison -1 -3 -8
1896 William McKinley William J. Bryan 1 1 1
1900 William McKinley William J. Bryan 1 1 1
1904 Theodore Roosevelt Alton B. Parker -1 -1 -2
1908 William H. Taft William J. Bryan 0 0 -1
1912 Woodrow Wilson Theodore Roosevelt 1 3 9
1916 Woodrow Wilson Charles E. Hughes 0 2 7
1920 Warren G. Harding James M. Cox 1 1 4
1924 Calvin Coolidge John W. Davis 3 6 17
1928 Herbert C. Hoover Alfred E. Smith 2 3 10
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt Herbert C. Hoover 0 2 3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt Alfred M. Landon 2 5 14
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt Wendell L. Willkie 1 4 11
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt Thomas E. Dewey 1 2 6
1948 Harry S. Truman Thomas E. Dewey 2 2 8
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower Adlai E. Stevenson 1 2 4
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower Adlai E. Stevenson 1 2 4
1960 John F. Kennedy Richard M. Nixon 0 0 0
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson Barry M. Goldwater -2 -2 -7
1968 Richard M. Nixon Hubert H. Humphrey 1 3 10
1972 Richard M. Nixon George McGovern 1 3 9
1976 James E. Carter, Jr. Gerald R. Ford 0 1 1
1980 Ronald Reagan James E. Carter, Jr. 1 2 5
1984 Ronald Reagan Walter F. Mondale 2 5 14
1988 George H. W. Bush Michael S. Dukakis -1 -1 -4
1992 William J. Clinton George H. W. Bush 0 0 1
1996 William J. Clinton Robert Dole -1 -1 -2
2000 George W. Bush Al Gore 0 2 4



Appendix 2. For those who wish to improve the results.

Undoubtedly, even more correct criterion can be found, if we use detailed info from tables 3-5. They were created and considered by me only after the three desribed above criteria were found.

Table 3. All septile aspects.
Planet42 presidents32 not presidents
Amount%Amount%
Sun 614.3412.5
Moon819.0103.1
Mercury307.1103.1
Venus409.5309.4
Mars307.1412.5
Jupiter307.1206.3
Saturn409.5103.1
Uranus307.1103.1
Neptune511.9103.1
Pluto409.5000.0
TC36409.5103.1
Total:47 19 
North Node307.1206.3
South Node204.8103.1
Mean Moon Apogee204.8309.4
Chiron511.9206.3

Table 4. All 11 non-septile aspects, summed.
Planet42 presidents32 not presidents
Amount%Amount%
Sun1433.31340.6
Moon1638.1 928.1
Mercury1023.8 515.6
Venus 819.0 928.1
Mars 819.0 928.1
Jupiter 819.0 515.6
Saturn 921.4 412.5
Uranus1331.0 928.1
Neptune 921.4 721.9
Pluto 716.71134.4
TC361331.0 721.9
Total:115 88 
North Node 716.7 928.1
South Node 716.7 825.0
Mean Moon Apogee1023.8 721.9
Chiron 921.41134.4

Table 5. All 11 objects used in criteria, summed.
Aspects42 presidents32 not presidents
Amount%Amount%
0 614.3 618.8
180 819.0 412.5
1201023.8 825.0
90 921.4 515.6
72 614.3 1134.4
1441638.1 515.6
601331.01031.3
451228.61031.3
1351126.21134.4
301126.21031.3
1501331.0 825.0
511433.3 618.8
1031433.3 928.1
1541945.2 412.5
Total:162 107 

It's seen from tables 3 and 4 that one can try to modify the "female planets" group: exclude Venus and/or include Mercury; table 5 says that aspect 2/5 is even more actual than 1/7 and 2/7.

Send your comments, please: soale@inbox.ru . Thank you.

(c) Саша Солёный ;
дата публикации 2003, June 09

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